Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3433 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

MQ 3433 · DFW → BIS

departs 10:40 AM CT · arrives 1:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±7 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BIS?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↓ BIS usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip2.13 in

BIS (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3433 · DFW → BIS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BIS?