Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3444
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
MQ 3444 · CLT → LIT
departs 10:46 PM ET · arrives 11:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 28%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LIT that day
↑
10pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
LIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
LIT (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.97 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.