Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3462 · DCA → CID
departs 10:39 AM ET · arrives 12:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at CID more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to CID?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DCA is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at CID
↓
Arrivals into CID at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
CID (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 10,923 ft Visibility 8.92308 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.