Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3469
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3469 · DFW → BHM
departs 9:50 AM CT · arrives 11:46 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM
↓
Arrivals into BHM at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.49 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.