Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3482
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 3482 · DFW → CRP
departs 1:06 PM CT · arrives 2:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 42%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 14%
Fri 10/9 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at CRP that day
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Arrivals into CRP at that hour are usually not late
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.