Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3482
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3482 · DFW → CRP
departs 1:06 PM CT · arrives 2:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±6 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Arrivals into CRP at that hour are usually not late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.08 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.