Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3487
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3487 · CVG → MIA
departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 9:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 24%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.24 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.