Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3510
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3510 · DFW → AMA
departs 8:05 PM CT · arrives 9:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 17%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at AMA that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.