Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3510
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3510 · DFW → AMA
departs 8:05 PM CT · arrives 9:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at AMA that day
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.61 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.