Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3533
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
MQ 3533 · DFW → OKC
departs 4:20 PM CT · arrives 5:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 38%
Mon 10/5 18%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.57 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.