Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3541
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3541 · DFW → MAF
departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 9:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 36%
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.