Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 3551 · GRK → DFW
departs 10:06 AM CT · arrives 11:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 31%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 8%
Fri 10/9 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at GRK that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
10am departures from GRK are usually not late
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
GRK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.70 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.