Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3551 · GRK → DFW
departs 10:06 AM CT · arrives 11:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at GRK that day
↓
10am departures from GRK are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
GRK (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.