Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3555
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3555 · TPA → MIA
departs 7:32 PM ET · arrives 8:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4 28%
Tue 10/6 29%
Wed 10/7 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TPA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.