Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3579
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3579 · HSV → DFW
departs 7:37 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 46%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 21%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
33%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
33%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
Weather at each end
HSV (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.