Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3579
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3579 · HSV → DFW
departs 7:37 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sat 10/3 52%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at HSV that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
Weather at each end
HSV (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.95 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.