Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3580
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3580 · DFW → HSV
departs 1:12 PM CT · arrives 3:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.10 in
HSV (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.