Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3580
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3580 · HSV → DFW
departs 3:37 PM CT · arrives 5:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 50%
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 22%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
63%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
33%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
33%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
Weather at each end
HSV (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.