Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3582
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 3582 · CLT → HHH
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 58%
Sun 10/4 28%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HHH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HHH?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from CLT are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HHH
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
HHH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.