Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 3592 · ICT → DFW
departs 2:23 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 48%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 17%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.