Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3592 · ICT → DFW
departs 2:23 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ICT
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.