Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3618 LANDED 9:59 PM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

MQ 3618 · CLT → COU

took off 9:18 PM ET · landed 9:59 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ COU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

COU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3618 · CLT → COU

Odds over time