Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3644
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3644 · DFW → LRD
departs 8:30 AM CT · arrives 10:01 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LRD more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LRD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at LRD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to LRD?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at LRD that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into LRD at that hour are usually not late
↓
LRD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.45 in
LRD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.