Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3657
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 3657 · MAF → DFW
departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 9:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 37%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,386 ft forecast at MAF that day
↓
8pm departures from MAF are usually not late
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,140 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.