Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3657
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3657 · MAF → DFW
departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 9:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MAF
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.52 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.