Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3665
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3665 · DFW → SGF
departs 10:11 PM CT · arrives 11:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.43 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.