Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3665
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3665 · DFW → SGF
departs 10:11 PM CT · arrives 11:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.60 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.