Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3676
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3676 · DFW → MEM
departs 12:37 PM CT · arrives 2:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 46%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 12%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MEM that day
↑
12pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.43 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 733 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.