Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3676
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3676 · DFW → MEM
departs 12:37 PM CT · arrives 2:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at MEM that day
↑
12pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into MEM at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.