Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3780
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3780 · AMA → DFW
departs 7:02 AM CT · arrives 8:25 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
26%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
26%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at AMA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from AMA are usually not late
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.02 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.