Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3836
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3836 · TYR → DFW
departs 10:14 AM CT · arrives 11:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
31%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave TYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
31%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at TYR that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
TYR usually runs smoothly
↓
10am departures from TYR are usually not late
Weather at each end
TYR (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,060 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.98 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.