Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3875 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

MQ 3875 · DFW → MLI

departs 2:06 PM CT · arrives 4:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±11 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MLI?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip2.13 in

MLI (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3875 · DFW → MLI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLI?