Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3930 · LCH → DFW
departs 6:02 AM CT · arrives 7:37 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave LCH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from LCH are usually not late
Weather at each end
LCH (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.