Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4008
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4008 · DFW → LIT
departs 3:43 PM CT · arrives 5:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LIT that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
LIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.49 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.