tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4009 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

MQ 4009 · ILM → ORD

departs 3:31 PM ET · arrives 5:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 3.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.