Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4034
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4034 · DFW → MLI
departs 9:22 PM CT · arrives 11:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MLI?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.49 in
MLI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.