Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4061
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 4061 · DFW → BTR
departs 9:29 PM CT · arrives 10:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 50%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 17%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BTR more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BTR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BTR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BTR?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at BTR that day
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
BTR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.