Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4061
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4061 · DFW → BTR
departs 9:29 PM CT · arrives 10:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 17%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at BTR more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BTR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BTR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BTR?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 367 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at BTR that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.32 in
BTR (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 367 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.81 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.