Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4079
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
MQ 4079 · DFW → LIT
departs 9:11 PM CT · arrives 10:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at LIT that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.57 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.