Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4086
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
MQ 4086 · PHX → XNA
departs 3:49 PM MT · arrives 8:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to XNA?
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On time or early
76%
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15–30 min late
13%
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30 min–1 hour late
3%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.