Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4110
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4110 · LFT → DFW
departs 1:53 PM CT · arrives 3:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave LFT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LFT that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
LFT is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
LFT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.35 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.