Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4110
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 4110 · LFT → DFW
departs 1:53 PM CT · arrives 3:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±5 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LFT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at LFT that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DFW that day
↓
LFT usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LFT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.81 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.