Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4142
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4142 · DFW → ICT
departs 9:31 AM CT · arrives 10:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Arrivals into ICT at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.56 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.