Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4142
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 4142 · DFW → ICT
departs 9:31 AM CT · arrives 10:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 71%
Fri 10/2 48%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Arrivals into ICT at that hour are usually not late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ICT
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.52 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.