MQ 4142 · DFW → ICT

departs 9:31 AM CT · arrives 10:55 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
33%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Arrivals into ICT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.18 in

ICT (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4142 · DFW → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?