Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5044 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5044 · DFW → JAN

departs 10:40 PM CT · arrives 12:11 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

JAN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5044 · DFW → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?