Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5059 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5059 · DCA → BDL

departs 12:59 PM ET · arrives 2:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

BDL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5059 · DCA → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?