Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5070 LANDED 12:13 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

OH 5070 · HPN → CLT

took off 10:51 PM ET · landed 12:13 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HPN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5070 · HPN → CLT

Odds over time