Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5114 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

OH 5114 · CLT → CAK

departs 3:34 PM ET · arrives 5:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CAK?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CAK that day

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ CAK usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

CAK (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5114 · CLT → CAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAK?