Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5126 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

OH 5126 · DCA → CLE

departs 12:13 PM ET · arrives 1:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLE that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

CLE (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5126 · DCA → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?